Luck Adjusted SAV% Criteria Explained
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Deflection by teammate (DxT), Deflection by opponent (DxO), Own Goal by Teammate (OGxT), Breakaway/Defensive Failure (DEF), Interference by Opponent (IxO), Interference by Teammate (IxT), Equipment Malfunction (EQ).
I will not look specifically at Shorthanded Goals (SHG) and Powerplay Goals (PPG), because, in my opinion, they are an inevitability that a goaltender should be reasonably prepared to expect.
The above markers, are NOT mutually exclusive and goals against may encompass multiple criteria. I believe you can quantify a goalie's luck, like PDO, but for goals against, and it's largely out of their control. I will determine a fair chance goal (FCG) as anything that does not fit the above criteria. Good goals may not be marked in any of the above disqualifying markers in addition to being a "fair chance goal."
A "fair chance goal", by the definition of this case study will involve: any shot that the goaltender attempts (and fails) to stop that is not deflected by the opposing team, or his/her own teammates; in an instance when the goaltender is not interfered with by the opposing team, or his/her own teammates; and is not the only means of defense between the shooter and the goal (disqualifying breakaways and penalty shots.)
Deflections by Teammate/Opponent are inadvertent OR intentional deflections of the puck by any person other than the goaltender being evaluated.
Own Goal by Teammate is a goal scored by a player against their own goalie in any case other than an inadvertent redirection.
Breakaway or Defensive failure is the most and least subjective criteria. All breakaways are considered defensive failures. Turnovers to unprotected players in the slot is a defensive failure, as is an odd-man rush where the goaltender is not afforded time to set up to the shooter. Most cases, odd-man rushes with east-west passes fall under deflections, or defensive failures.
Interference by Teammate/Opponent is any contact that leaves a goaltender the inability to efficiently move any part of their body. This contact must leave the goaltender without time to set up to a shooter.
Equipment Malfunction is any uncontrollable defect in the goaltenders equipment during an attempt to stop the puck. Like a skate blade breaking or a helmet strap breaking. This does not include the goaltender losing his stick.
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Deflection by teammate (DxT), Deflection by opponent (DxO), Own Goal by Teammate (OGxT), Breakaway/Defensive Failure (DEF), Interference by Opponent (IxO), Interference by Teammate (IxT), Equipment Malfunction (EQ).
I will not look specifically at Shorthanded Goals (SHG) and Powerplay Goals (PPG), because, in my opinion, they are an inevitability that a goaltender should be reasonably prepared to expect.
The above markers, are NOT mutually exclusive and goals against may encompass multiple criteria. I believe you can quantify a goalie's luck, like PDO, but for goals against, and it's largely out of their control. I will determine a fair chance goal (FCG) as anything that does not fit the above criteria. Good goals may not be marked in any of the above disqualifying markers in addition to being a "fair chance goal."
A "fair chance goal", by the definition of this case study will involve: any shot that the goaltender attempts (and fails) to stop that is not deflected by the opposing team, or his/her own teammates; in an instance when the goaltender is not interfered with by the opposing team, or his/her own teammates; and is not the only means of defense between the shooter and the goal (disqualifying breakaways and penalty shots.)
Deflections by Teammate/Opponent are inadvertent OR intentional deflections of the puck by any person other than the goaltender being evaluated.
Own Goal by Teammate is a goal scored by a player against their own goalie in any case other than an inadvertent redirection.
Breakaway or Defensive failure is the most and least subjective criteria. All breakaways are considered defensive failures. Turnovers to unprotected players in the slot is a defensive failure, as is an odd-man rush where the goaltender is not afforded time to set up to the shooter. Most cases, odd-man rushes with east-west passes fall under deflections, or defensive failures.
Interference by Teammate/Opponent is any contact that leaves a goaltender the inability to efficiently move any part of their body. This contact must leave the goaltender without time to set up to a shooter.
Equipment Malfunction is any uncontrollable defect in the goaltenders equipment during an attempt to stop the puck. Like a skate blade breaking or a helmet strap breaking. This does not include the goaltender losing his stick.
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